Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Odds jumped to 99% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? On , the market’s odds jumped from 86.5¢ to 98.6¢ (+12.1 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match86.5¢
+5m95¢
+30m98.5¢
+1h98.6¢
1h move+12.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 418 (47.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 257 (29.3%) • Kaela Berg (D): 170 (19.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 22,690 (48.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 13,950 (29.9%) • Kaela Berg (D): 7,770 (16.7%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$78K

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Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.