MN-02 Democratic Primary WinnerMatt Little

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$78KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESms.now98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little projected to win Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd House District
YEScnn.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little will win Democratic primary in Minnesota's 2nd District, CNN projects
YEStheguardian.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little rose to the top of a three-way race between current and former state lawmakers to win the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s second congressional
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: Matt Little, a Progressive, Wins a Democratic House Primary in Minnesota
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Matt Little, a Progressive, Wins a Democratic House Primary in Minnesota
YESAPws98%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Matt Little wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District
YESapnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Matt Little wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District
YESnbcnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: Matt Little wins the Democratic primary for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, NBC News projects
YESSemafor Reporter96%match98¢+2%
Clearest win for progressives so far is looking like #MN02, where Matt Little took several positions (inc Medicare for All) to the left of Angie Craig and is in a strong place to succeed her.
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Little wins the MN US House 2 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:43 PM EDT
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 22,690 (48.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 13,950 (29.9%) • Kaela Berg (D): 7,770 (16.7%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does the news lean?

12YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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See all outcomes for MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

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