MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes19as of

This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Matt Little100%
Kaela Berg0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Other0%
Matt Klein0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%

What moved the odds?

16 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Matt Littlems.now98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little projected to win Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 2nd House District
Matt Littlecnn.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little will win Democratic primary in Minnesota's 2nd District, CNN projects
Matt Littletheguardian.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: Matt Little rose to the top of a three-way race between current and former state lawmakers to win the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s second congressional
Matt Littlenytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: Matt Little, a Progressive, Wins a Democratic House Primary in Minnesota
Matt Littlenytimes.com98%match100¢
Matt Little, a Progressive, Wins a Democratic House Primary in Minnesota
Matt LittleAPws98%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Matt Little wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District
Matt Littleapnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Matt Little wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District
Matt Littlenbcnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: Matt Little wins the Democratic primary for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, NBC News projects
Matt LittleSemafor Reporter96%match98¢+2%
Clearest win for progressives so far is looking like #MN02, where Matt Little took several positions (inc Medicare for All) to the left of Angie Craig and is in a strong place to succeed her.
Matt LittleDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
Decision Desk HQ projects Matt Little wins the MN US House 2 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:43 PM EDT
Matt LittleDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 22,690 (48.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 13,950 (29.9%) • Kaela Berg (D): 7,770 (16.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kaela BergDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 22,690 (48.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 13,950 (29.9%) • Kaela Berg (D): 7,770 (16.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Matt KleinDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match93¢+8%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 67% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 22,690 (48.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 13,950 (29.9%) • Kaela Berg (D): 7,770 (16.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Matt LittleDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match87¢+15%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 418 (47.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 257 (29.3%) • Kaela Berg (D): 170 (19.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kaela BergDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 418 (47.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 257 (29.3%) • Kaela Berg (D): 170 (19.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Matt KleinDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match87¢+15%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Minnesota US House 2 Democratic Primary • • Matt Little (D): 418 (47.6%) • Matthew Klein (D): 257 (29.3%) • Kaela Berg (D): 170 (19.4%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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