Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Odds jumped to 99% on Aug 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 87¢ to 99.5¢ (+12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match87¢
+5m87¢
+30m87¢
+1h99.5¢
1h move+12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 87¢ → 99.5¢+12.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 87¢ → 100¢+13 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
  • 87¢ → 100¢+13 ptsafter a signal from APws
  • 87¢ → 100¢+13 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 87¢ → 100¢+13 ptsafter a signal from ms.now

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
Decision Desk HQ projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich win the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:01 AM EDT

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$19K

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Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.