Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Odds fell to 67% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? On , the market’s odds fell from 94.9¢ to 66.5¢ (-28.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match94.9¢
+5m95.1¢
+30m90.1¢
+1h66.5¢
1h move-28.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 69.3¢ → 54.9¢-14.4 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 69.9¢ → 91.4¢+21.6 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 5% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 4,163 (61.8%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 2,570 (38.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$954K

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Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.