Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Odds jumped to 81% on Aug 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 50¢ to 80.5¢ (+30.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match50¢
+5m50.5¢
+30m90.5¢
+1h80.5¢
+24h91¢
1h move+30.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
GOVERNOR • • Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich have been projected to win, along with Republican Bernadette Wilson. • • The last spot has not been projected yet, but Dave Bronson holds a lead of around a percentage point. • •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$20K

Follow this market

Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.