Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Odds fell to 66% on Aug 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? On , the market’s odds fell from 79.5¢ to 66¢ (-13.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from CNN Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match79.5¢
+5m74¢
+30m72.5¢
+1h66¢
+24h65.5¢
1h move-13.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralCNN Reporter94%match
#SCSEN special primary: With five days to go, Darline Graham's super PAC is up on TV targeting Russell Fry. • • The group's also been stepping up its attacks online:

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$542K

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Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.