South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerDarline Graham Nordone
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$542Kas of
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This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
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38 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Sen. Darline Graham Heads to GOP Runoff After Falling Shy of Majority - WSJ
Live: Darline Graham pays homage to late brother as she advances to runoff to fill his seat
NEW: Sen. Darline Graham thanks President Trump for his support as she heads to a runoff for a full term in South Carolina: • • "I want to thank President Trump for his steadfast support and his complete and total endorsement means so much to me." • • "He knows that I will stand with him and fight for his agenda, just like Lindsey did."
Live: President Trump told reporters that Darline Graham had called him after she advanced to the primary runoff in South Carolina. He said he planned to call her back. “It’s great that she’s doing so well,” said Trump, who has endorsed her. “She’s a very good woman.”
Live: Speaking to reporters in Columbia, S.C., Senator Darline Graham called this “a very emotional night” as she advanced to a runoff election. “Because I’m usually standing out here celebrating with Lindsey,” she said, “I know he’s looking down right now, smiling.”
Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) just took the podium after advancing to the Senate GOP runoff. • • She reflected on the loss of her brother, who died a month ago today. • • “First, I want to say that this is a very emotional night because I'm usually standing here celebrating Lindsey. So I know he’s looking down right now smiling,” he said.
Live: Darline Graham faces an uphill battle in South Carolina Senate runoff
Live: It is unclear why Senator Darline Graham has not yet made remarks to news reporters gathered in Columbia, S.C. The Associated Press called her advancing to the runoff about an hour ago, and she has had a window to make the most of primetime television news coverage.
Live: Norman congratulated Darline Graham for making it to the Aug. 25 runoff and said Republicans needed to come together to defeat the Democrats.
News: Sen. Darline Graham will face off against Rep. Ralph Norman in the runoff to be South Carolina’s Senate GOP nominee. • • The runoff is Aug. 25. • • As of 9pm, Graham has 32.6% and Norman has 24%. Rep. Russell Fry trails in third at 20.4%.
JUST IN: Darline Graham advances to the GOP Senate runoff, moving one step closer to securing the Republican nomination with Trump's backing. • • The sister of the late South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Darline leads the polls in the special Republican primary as of 8:30pm ET with 32.5% of the vote, ahead of opponents Ralph Norman at 22.8% and Russell Fry at 22.7%. • • Sen. Darline Graham will be joined by one other contender in the runoff in two weeks. • • @markpmeredith @JesseBWatters @kayleighmcenany
Live: A sound technician just did a final audio check at Senator Darline Graham’s Election Night event in Columbia, South Carolina’s capital. Since it is not a party and there are no voters or supporters here, reporters are just pressed around a lectern, waiting. Television crews have been doing periodic live hits, explaining to viewers that there has been no reaction to report on the news that Graham had advanced to the runoff, since no one is here to react.
JUST IN: Darline Graham advances to the GOP Senate runoff, moving one step closer to securing the Republican nomination with Trump's backing. • • The sister of the late South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Darline leads the polls in the special Republican primary as of 8:30pm ET with 32.5% of the vote, ahead of opponents Ralph Norman at 22.8% and Russell Fry at 22.7%. • • Sen. Darline Graham will be joined by one other contender in the runoff in two weeks. • • @markpmeredith @JesseBWatters@kayleighmcenany
UPDATE: @NBCNews projects Rep. Ralph Norman will advance to the SC GOP primary for Senate. He will face off against Darline Graham on August 25th for the GOP nomination for the fall election.
Sen. Darline Graham Heads to GOP Runoff After Falling Shy of Majority -- WSJ
Live: Lindsey Graham's sister, Darline, advances to runoff in GOP battle for late senator's SC Senate seat
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 57,034 (32.8%) • Ralph Norman (R): 40,797 (23.5%) • Russell Fry (R): 37,308 (21.5%) • Mark Sanford (R): 25,356 (14.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Sen. Darline Graham advances to Republican special primary runoff in South Carolina
DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 50,361 (32.6%) • Ralph Norman (R): 36,802 (23.8%) • Russell Fry (R): 34,239 (22.1%) • Mark Sanford (R): 21,466 (13.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Darline Graham advances to the Republican Senate runoff in South Carolina
Live: South Carolina Sen. Darline Graham will advance to GOP runoff for a full term, CNN projects
Live: Darline Graham advances to special GOP Senate primary runoff to replace late brother Lindsey Graham
YESReuters97%match99¢+1%
Darline Graham, Sister of Late Senator Lindsey Graham, Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - AP News
DDHQ Race Update (est. 38% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 40,317 (32.5%) • Russell Fry (R): 28,570 (23.0%) • Ralph Norman (R): 28,128 (22.6%) • Mark Sanford (R): 17,863 (14.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Darline Graham projected to advance to South Carolina Senate GOP runoff
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Darline Graham advances to Republican special primary runoff election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina
Live: Appointed Sen. Darline Graham advances to GOP Senate primary runoff in South Carolina
JUST IN: @NBCNews projects that Darline Graham will advance to the runoff in South Carolina’s Senate GOP primary. It is a tight race for who goes with her between Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman.
YESReuters97%match98¢+2%
Darline Graham, Sister of Late Senator Lindsey Graham, Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - NBC News
DDHQ Race Update (est. 26% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 26,575 (31.5%) • Russell Fry (R): 19,798 (23.5%) • Ralph Norman (R): 19,446 (23.1%) • Mark Sanford (R): 12,509 (14.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 15% in): South Carolina US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Darline Graham (R): 14,493 (30.4%) • Russell Fry (R): 11,507 (24.1%) • Ralph Norman (R): 11,226 (23.5%) • Mark Sanford (R): 7,404 (15.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESReuters93%match95¢+5%
Darline Graham, Sister of Late Senator Lindsey Graham, Advances to Run-Off in Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina - Ddhq
Decision Desk HQ projects Darline Graham advances in SC US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:28 PM EDT
Live: Darline Graham led in four of five polls fielded since President Trump endorsed her run to replace her brother, Lindsey Graham, as the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina. But with a fractured field of 10 candidates, she did not reach the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff in any of the polls.
It was my Honor to welcome now Senator Darline Graham Nordone (The sister of the Late, Great Lindsey Graham!), from the Wonderful State of South Carolina, into the Oval Office. We have known each other for a long time — She is a spectacular person, and a true American Patriot. Lindsey was one of the greatest people and Senators I have ever known, and his sister shares his deep love of our Country, and the State of South Carolina. During her visit, I asked Darline, for the Good of our Nation, to run for the U.S. Senate in the Special Republican Primary on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. She accepted, as there is nobody better to honor the legacy of her beloved brother, Lindsey. Darline, who comes from an absolutely incredible family, has been a WINNER all of her life, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement in the Special Election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR DARLINE – SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP Find your Voting Location here:
Trump will hold a tele-rally for Darline Graham on Monday, the day before the #SCSEN special primary, per her campaign.
Darline Graham Stumbles Out Of Gate In Bid For Lindsey's Senate Seat
It was my Honor to welcome now Senator Darline Graham Nordone (The sister of the Late, Great Lindsey Graham!), from the Wonderful State of South Carolina, into the Oval Office. We have known each other for a long time — She is a spectacular person, and a true American Patriot. Lindsey was one of the greatest people and Senators I have ever known, and his sister shares his deep love of our Country, and the State of South Carolina. During her visit, I asked Darline, for the Good of our Nation, to run for the U.S. Senate in the Special Republican Primary on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. She accepted, as there is nobody better to honor the legacy of her beloved brother, Lindsey. Darline, who comes from an absolutely incredible family, has been a WINNER all of her life, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement in the Special Election for U.S. Senate in South Carolina — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Where does the news lean?
56YES7NO30neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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