Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds fell from 9.5¢ to 0.1¢ (-9.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match9.5¢
+5m6¢
+30m0.2¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-9.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$18K

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Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-22 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.