Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? Odds fell to 3% on Aug 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds fell from 77.5¢ to 3¢ (-74.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match77.5¢
+5m91.5¢
+30m71.5¢
+1h3¢
1h move-74.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 72.5¢ → 1.6¢-70.9 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 21¢ → 1.5¢-19.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 15.5¢ → 1.5¢-14 ptsafter a signal from Axios Reporter
  • 10¢ → 0.5¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 9¢ → 0.5¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 40.7¢ → 0.1¢-40.6 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Tennessee US House 5 Republican Primary • • Andy Ogles (R): 902 (55.9%) • Charlie Hatcher (R): 713 (44.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$74K

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Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for TN-05 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.