Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 99% on Sep 22, 2026
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Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 90¢ to 98.8¢ (+8.8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nytimes.com.
How did the odds move?
90¢
90.5¢
98.9¢
98.8¢
+8.8 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesnytimes.com97%match
Live: Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, met with the Steve Witkoff, U.S. special envoy, and Jared Kushner on the sidelines of the General Assembly at U.N headquarters in New York, according to two Iranian officials. The meeting was mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, which had been pushing hard for Tehran and Washington to return to diplomacy and de-escalate the confict, the sources said. The discussions focused on a pathway for a deal, they said.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 99% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES99¢
NO1¢
$40K
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Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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