Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 20% on Sep 1, 2026

OpenMove

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 36¢ to 20¢ (-16 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews.

How did the odds move?

At match36¢
+5m33.5¢
+30m33.5¢
+1h20¢
+24h14¢
1h move-16 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 1, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 33.5¢ → 19¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
  • 33.5¢ → 19¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
  • 33.5¢ → 19¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
  • 33.5¢ → 19¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com
  • 33¢ → 19¢-14 ptsafter a signal from apnews.com
  • 33¢ → 19¢-14 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com
  • 34¢ → 15¢-19 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com
  • 22.5¢ → 14.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from Fox Reporter
  • 25¢ → 14.5¢-10.5 ptsafter a signal from nbcnews.com

What moved the odds?

Neutralfoxnews98%match
A fourth day of deliberations begins in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial, with jurors still giving no hint about where they stand. • • The jury spent all of Monday behind closed doors without sending a single question or note to the judge. Defense attorney Kevin Reddington says jurors are likely emotionally exhausted and hopes a verdict could come today. • • They now face the central question of the case: Was Clancy criminally responsible when she killed her three children in 2023, or was she suffering from psychosis? • • The decision could mean psychiatric confinement or life in prison without parole. | @foymeetsworld

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES2¢
NO98¢

Vol$698K

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Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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