Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? the favorite at 34%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOapnews.com96%match70¢-6%
[UPDATE] Jurors are excused without reaching a verdict in Lindsay Clancy murder trial (first reported at 2026-08-28T12:24:27Z)
NOfoxnews.com98%match75¢-12%
Live: Lindsay Clancy jury may weigh manslaughter alongside murder charges
YESfoxnews.com96%match28¢+21%
Lindsay Clancy didn't show 'break with reality' as jury weighs psychosis defense: Susan Smith prosecutor
NOnytimes.com97%match72¢-8%
Judge Allows Option of Manslaughter Verdict in Lindsay Clancy Case

What is this event about?

Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

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