Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Odds jumped to 96% on Sep 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 87¢ to 96¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from i24 Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match87¢
+5m95¢
+30m94.5¢
+1h96¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesi24 Reporter94%match
After the next round of talks between Israel and Lebanon was postponed to next month, Ambassador Yechiel Leiter will meet with his Lebanese counterpart Nada Hamadeh Moawad this afternoon at the State Department in Washington.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$181K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.