Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds jumped to 39% on Sep 17, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds jumped from 20.5¢ to 39¢ (+18.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.tv-asahi.co.jp. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match20.5¢
+5m20.5¢
+30m29.5¢
+1h39¢
+24h18¢
1h move+18.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralnews.tv-asahi.co.jp95%match
Bank of Japan to accelerate interest rate hikes: An "unprecedented" decision due to persistent inflation risks.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$113K

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Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Bank of Japan Decision in October? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.