Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds fell to 23% on Aug 14, 2026

OpenMove

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds fell from 35¢ to 23¢ (-12 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ifre.com.

How did the odds move?

At match35¢
+5m35¢
+30m22.5¢
+1h23¢
+24h24.5¢
1h move-12 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralifre.com94%match
Markets see higher chance of BoJ rate hike

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES13¢
NO88¢

Vol$16K

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Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Bank of Japan Decision in October? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.