Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds jumped to 41% on Aug 10, 2026

OpenMove

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds jumped from 32¢ to 40.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nikkei.com.

How did the odds move?

At match32¢
+5m32.5¢
+30m40.5¢
+1h40.5¢
+24h54¢
1h move+8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralnikkei.com97%match
Bank of Japan to accelerate interest rate hikes: Policy board members announce "shift in phase" at July meeting

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES13¢
NO88¢

Vol$16K

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Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Bank of Japan Decision in October? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.