Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

OpenVol$3.1MDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES7¢
NO94¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NORussian Media92%match93¢
Holding elections in Ukraine is currently impossible due to the current legal ban and the lack of conditions for safe voting, according to Mykhailo Podolyak, an adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine. "Any participant in the political process has the right to make statements, not just [former Defense Minister Mykhailo] Fedorov. But the obstacles to the election campaign have increased... it is impossible to guarantee the security of the elections. And the legal ban is still in force," he said in an interview with the Italian newspaper Repubblica, commenting on former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov's call to hold elections as soon as possible. Volodymyr Zelenskyy's five-year term as President of Ukraine expired on May 20, 2024. Elections were scheduled for March 31 of that year. According to Ukrainian law, they cannot be held during martial law. Moscow has repeatedly stated that it considers the issue of the Ukrainian government's legitimacy important when signing potential peace agreements. RBK Channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android
NOUkrainian Media92%match91¢+2%
Zelensky signed laws on the extension of martial law and mobilization President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky signed laws on the extension of martial law and general mobilization from August 2, 2026 for 90 days, the press service of the parliament reported. "The Verkhovna Rada received the laws signed by the President of Ukraine. 4928-IX - extends the term of martial law in Ukraine from August 2, 2026 for 90 days and 4929-IX - extends the term of general mobilization in Ukraine from August 2, 2026 for 90 days," the parliament said in a message on Telegram on Friday. ...
NOUkrainian Public Broadcaster94%match91¢+2%
President Zelenskyy signed decrees extending martial law and mobilization until October 31, 2026. The relevant documents are published on the president's website.
NOUkrainian Media92%match91¢+2%
Martial law and mobilization extended until October 31, 2026 President Zelenskyy signed the relevant laws today. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
YESCGTN Europe98%match43¢-84%
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Tuesday he was prepared to hold elections within three months if the US and Kyiv's other allies could ensure the security of the vote. Wartime elections are forbidden by law but Zelenskyy, whose term expired last year, is facing…

Where does the news lean?

1YES6NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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