Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Kazakhstan

OpenVol$135KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOKazinform94%match99¢+1%
The head of state expressed his position on the settlement of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "You know, I said from the very beginning that this is an interstate conflict. We are not talking about any kind of civil war. We have always respected the Ukrainian people, their culture, and their language. And we believe that the nature of this conflict is not entirely clear to many, including us. I know that you demonstrated maximum diplomatic flexibility during the meeting in Anchorage, Alaska. And just my humble opinion, since I am being approached: perhaps this conflict should be frozen and we should return to the Istanbul Formula 2.0, since significant results have been achieved there. And then, naturally, with the guarantees of the great powers, including Russia, we can move further toward long-awaited peace. Kazakhstan is not an outside country, but at the same time, despite all the proposals and appeals, I categorically refuse to be a mediator, because I know that Russia is a great country, and the Russian people are a great people." And, as they say, without intermediaries, he will handle all the issues on the agenda himself. But I decided to express my humble opinion today, because people know that I planned to be in Omsk, they know about our meeting. No one knows how to get out of this situation, because there are positions of the parties. But on the other hand, there is an opportunity to put this whole matter on hold. This is a proven situation, a technique in international practice. Because it is a shame, of course, that young people are dying. This is the gene pool of the fraternal peoples of Russia and Ukraine. And all this must be stopped, because what is happening, in my convinced opinion, plays into the hands and pleases the enemies of both Russia and the Ukrainian state, said Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. In conclusion, he reaffirmed his commitment to strategic partnership and alliance with Russia. - Regarding Kazakhstan's position on Russia, have no doubt, we have always considered and continue to consider Russia a great state. I say this at all international forums. We are committed to strategic cooperation with Russia, to an allied relationship, no matter how difficult it may be. And this Forum is proof of that, the Head of State is convinced.
NORussian Media97%match99¢+1%
Today, Vladimir Putin and Kassym-Jomart Tokayev met at the 22nd Russia-Kazakhstan Interregional Cooperation Forum. Kommersant's summary of the forum participants' discussions: There is "no progress yet" in Russia-US relations, Dmitry Peskov stated. According to him, relations are currently entirely dependent on a resolution to the Ukrainian conflict. Kassym-Jomart Tokayev stated that he will not mediate in a Ukrainian settlement. He believes that Russia and Ukraine should "freeze the conflict and return to the Istanbul formula 2.0." The attacks on the Black Sea infrastructure of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium can be regarded as an attack by Ukraine not only on Russia, but also on Kazakhstan and the United States, said Dmitry Peskov. The fuel situation on the Russian market is stabilizing, noted Alexander Novak. The most difficult fuel situation is in Crimea, said Alexander Novak. Work to provide the region with fuel continues. The government is discussing reducing exchange sales of fuel from 10% to 2%. Air traffic between Russia and Kazakhstan is developing, and the number of destinations is growing, said Vladimir Putin. According to him, the parties will soon launch direct flights from Orenburg to Almaty. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev proposed freezing the conflict in Ukraine. He stated this at a joint conference with Vladimir Putin in Omsk. “I know you demonstrated maximum diplomatic flexibility in Alaska. This is my humble opinion. Perhaps this conflict should already be frozen and we should return to the Istanbul Formula 2.0, since significant results were achieved there. Naturally, under the guarantees of the great powers, including Russia. And then move towards the long-awaited peace,” he said. The Kazakh President also stated that he would not act as a mediator in the Ukrainian settlement. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | on Telegram]
NORussian Media96%match99¢+1%
Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev stated that his country will not mediate in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "Kazakhstan is not a third-party country, but at the same time, despite all the calls, I categorically refuse to be a mediator, because I know that Russia is a great country, the Russian people are a great people. And, as they say, without intermediaries, they will cope with all the issues on the agenda themselves," he said during a meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin in Omsk. RBC Channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
YESCGTN Europe99%match0¢
Putin will visit Kazakhstan on a state visit at the end of May - Kremlin.

Where does the news lean?

1YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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