Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yu Deng
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$216Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESXinhua98%match100¢
Urgent: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals
YESNews98%match100¢
Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu and Wang Hong won the Fields Medal.
Shing-Tung Yau on Wang Hong and Deng Yu winning the Fields Medal: This is a wish we have been hoping to realize for decades.
Chinese mathematicians Wang Hong and Deng Yu were both awarded the Fields Medal; both are alumni of Peking University.
Wang Hong and Deng Yu win the Fields Medal, marking a historic breakthrough in Chinese mathematics.
YESXinhua98%match100¢
Flash: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals, becoming the first Chinese recipients of the prestigious honor
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
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See all outcomes for Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.