Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

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This hub tracks 11 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Hong Wangnikkei99%match100¢
Wang Hong from China wins the Fields Medal, often called the "Nobel Prize of Mathematics," becoming the third woman to receive the award.
Hong Wangnikkei.com99%match100¢
Wang Hong, a Chinese national, has been awarded the Fields Medal, often called the "Nobel Prize of Mathematics," becoming the third woman to receive the award.
Yu DengXinhua98%match100¢
Urgent: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals
Hong WangXinhua98%match100¢
Urgent: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals
Yu DengNews98%match100¢
Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu and Wang Hong won the Fields Medal.
Hong WangNews98%match100¢
Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu and Wang Hong won the Fields Medal.
Yu Dengm.thepaper.cn97%match100¢
Shing-Tung Yau on Wang Hong and Deng Yu winning the Fields Medal: This is a wish we have been hoping to realize for decades.
Hong Wangm.thepaper.cn98%match100¢
Shing-Tung Yau on Wang Hong and Deng Yu winning the Fields Medal: This is a wish we have been hoping to realize for decades.
Yu Dengm.thepaper.cn98%match100¢
Chinese mathematicians Wang Hong and Deng Yu were both awarded the Fields Medal; both are alumni of Peking University.
Hong Wangm.thepaper.cn98%match100¢
Chinese mathematicians Wang Hong and Deng Yu were both awarded the Fields Medal; both are alumni of Peking University.
Wang Hong and Deng Yu win the Fields Medal, marking a historic breakthrough in Chinese mathematics.
Wang Hong and Deng Yu win the Fields Medal, marking a historic breakthrough in Chinese mathematics.
Yu DengXinhua98%match100¢
Flash: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals, becoming the first Chinese recipients of the prestigious honor
Hong WangXinhua98%match100¢
Flash: Chinese mathematicians Deng Yu, Wang Hong awarded Fields Medals, becoming the first Chinese recipients of the prestigious honor

What is this event about?

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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