MLB: ERA LeaderYoshinobu Yamamoto
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Yoshinobu Yamamoto earns his 12th win of the season, pitching 6 innings and allowing only 1 run. Munetaka Murakami hits his 27th home run, and Seiya Suzuki hits his 21st.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitches 6 innings, allowing only one run, to earn his career-high 12th win in the majors, striking out 9 batters in every inning. Pages and Edman provide run support with home runs.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto achieves a remarkable 100th career win in Japan and the US combined! He pitched well, allowing only one run in six innings, marking his 11th win of the season, and the Dodgers also extended their winning streak to four games. Shohei Ohtani, however, went hitless.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto leaves the game with a 3-run lead, aiming for his 100th career win in Japan and the US combined. He pitched well, allowing only one run in six innings, and is in line for his 11th win of the season.
Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitches a complete game for his 10th win of the season, his second consecutive season with double-digit wins; Shohei Ohtani drives in 2 runs.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitches his first walk-free complete game of the season! Despite pitching earlier than scheduled, the bullpen was rested in the first game of a doubleheader, and Ohtani scores his 30th multi-hit game and adds an extra run with a full-speed sprint.
Where does the news lean?
10YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for MLB: ERA Leader — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.