Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Turkey
Open$488Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Turkey and Israel have been conducting indirect contacts for the past year and a half, through Azerbaijan, which have been suspended in recent months amid increasing tensions between the countries, according to a report in Kan News. "Turkey is an adversary of Israel in all arenas, but I don't think there is an interest in an exchange of fire between the sides, neither for Turkey nor for Israel," said a political source. @gilicohen10
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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