VA-05 Democratic Primary WinnerTom Perriello
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$7Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Former Rep. Tom Perriello handily secures the Democratic nomination to take on GOP Rep. John McGuire in #VA05
Live: Former Representative Tom Perriello has won the Democratic primary for Virginia’s largely rural Fifth Congressional District. Perriello, who last held the seat over a decade ago, entered the race expecting a redistricting plan that would have put him in solidly Democratic territory. With the old boundaries restored by a state Supreme Court decision, he now faces an difficult general election battle in a district President Trump carried by 12 points in 2024.
YESAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Tom Perriello wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia's 5th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Tom Perriello wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.