VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Former Rep. Tom Perriello handily secures the Democratic nomination to take on GOP Rep. John McGuire in #VA05
Live: Former Representative Tom Perriello has won the Democratic primary for Virginia’s largely rural Fifth Congressional District. Perriello, who last held the seat over a decade ago, entered the race expecting a redistricting plan that would have put him in solidly Democratic territory. With the old boundaries restored by a state Supreme Court decision, he now faces an difficult general election battle in a district President Trump carried by 12 points in 2024.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Tom Perriello wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia's 5th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Tom Perriello wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.