Saudi Arabia military action against YemenSeptember 15
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$62Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Announce details of Saudi airstrike on prisoner in Yemen A Saudi F-15 drone targeted the central prison of al-Hazm with two rockets, a Yemeni armed forces spokesman said Wednesday. (September 7, 2026) to the central prison of the city of al-Hazm in the province of al-Jawf, was carried out by an F-15 fighter jet belonging to the Saudi Air Force. According to a statement by the Yemeni armed forces, the fighter arrived at 16:30 from the King Khalid Air Base in the city of Khamis (southern Saudi Arabia) and carried out two flights. The airstrike targeted the central prison of al-Hazm. The plane returned to the base at 16:45 after the operation. dnws.ir/003c16 @Defapress_ir
Details of Saudi Arabia's airstrike on a prisoner in Yemen Brigadier General Yahya Saree, spokesman for the Yemeni Armed Forces, announced that the airstrike on Monday (September 7, 2026) on the central prison in the city of Al-Hazm in Al-Jawf province was carried out by an F-15 fighter jet belonging to the Saudi Air Force.
@TasnimNews
The crime committed by the Saudi enemy on Monday, September 7, 2026, by targeting the central prison in Al-Hazm city in Al-Jawf Governorate, which resulted in the deaths of a large number of inmates and visitors, including children and women, was carried out by an F-15SA warplane that took off at 4:30 PM from King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait and targeted the prison with two airstrikes, returning to the same base in Khamis Mushait at 4:45 PM. The Saudi enemy's attempts to deny its crimes and aggression against our country will not absolve it of the consequences and repercussions of this aggression and criminality, no matter how hard it tries to cover it up.
Al-Mayadeen: Saudi Arabia carried out 135 airstrikes against Yemen in 3 days Al-Mayadeen Network reporter in Sanaa announced that Saudi Arabia has carried out more than 135 airstrikes against Yemen in 3 days. According to IRNA, citing Al-Mayadeen Network, the network's reporter in Sanaa announced that the Yemeni armed forces repelled an attempt by Saudi-backed forces to gather and mobilize forces in the "Al-Yatameh" market in Al-Jawf province.
Statement issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful God Almighty said: {{And whoever avenges himself after being wronged - those are not to be blamed.} God Almighty has spoken the truth For twelve years, our dear Yemeni people have been subjected to aggression and siege by the criminal Saudi enemy. During the past three days, the criminal Saudi enemy launched a brutal and unjust aggression against our people with 121 air raids launched from King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait and King Fahd Air Base in Taif, targeting the governorates of Ma’rib, Al-Bayda, Al-Hudaydah, Taiz and Al-Jawf, And committing major crimes, the latest being the Al-Jawf massacre, which claimed the lives of a large number of inmates at the central prison in Al-Hazm city, including women and children among the visitors, in an attempt to occupy our country and kill our people in a major and comprehensive escalation serving the American and Israeli enemy.
In response to this brutal aggression and to confront the comprehensive escalation with a comprehensive escalation,
the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a qualitative and extensive military operation, targeting Aramco facilities in Abha, Najran, the Economic City, Aramco Jizan, and Khamis Mushait Air Base with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. The strikes were precise and direct, thanks be to God, and caused significant damage to those facilities.
The Armed Forces hold the Saudi enemy responsible for the escalation. An attack on our country and our people will be met with a decisive response, and we will not hesitate to launch even stronger and wider strikes against the criminal Saudi enemy, God willing. All the movements, attacks, and troop buildups of the Saudi enemy will not intimidate our beloved country, Yemen, the land of Islam and Arabism, nor will they weaken the resolve of our faithful, free, and mujahid people, the people of faith and wisdom. Rather, we will become even more determined to confront every aggression and every attack, for our people are on the side of truth, and our enemy is on the side of falsehood. Indeed, falsehood is ever bound to perish. We affirm that, by God's will and power, we will continue our operations deep inside Saudi Arabia, targeting its troop buildups and maintaining the equation of siege for siege until the aggression is halted and the blockade on our beloved country is lifted. And God Sufficient for us is He, and He is the best Disposer of affairs; the best Master and the best Helper. Long live Yemen, free, dignified, and independent! Victory to Yemen and to all the free people of the nation! Sana'a, 26 Rabi' al-Awwal 1448 AH, corresponding to 8 September 2026 AD. Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces
Urgent Statement issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful
God Almighty said: {And whoever avenges himself after being wronged - those are not to be blamed.} God Almighty has spoken the truth. For twelve years, our dear Yemeni people have been subjected to aggression and siege by the criminal Saudi enemy. During the past three days, the criminal Saudi enemy launched a brutal and unjust aggression against our people with 121 airstrikes launched from King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait and King Fahd Air Base in Taif, targeting the governorates of Ma'rib Al-Bayda, Al-Hudaydah, Taiz, and Al-Jawf, committing major crimes, the latest being the Al-Jawf massacre, which claimed the lives of a large number of inmates at the central prison in Al-Hazm city, including women and children who were visitors. This is all part of his attempt to occupy our country and kill our people in a major and comprehensive escalation serving the American and Israeli enemy. In response to this brutal aggression and to counter this comprehensive escalation with a comprehensive escalation, the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a qualitative and extensive military operation targeting Aramco facilities in Abha, Najran, the Economic City, and Aramco Jizan, as well as Khamis Mushait Air Base, with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. Thanks be to God, the strikes were precise and direct, causing significant damage to these facilities. The Armed Forces bear responsibility for the attacks. The armed forces hold the Saudi enemy responsible for the escalation. Every attack on our country and our people will be met with a decisive response, and we will not hesitate to launch even stronger and wider strikes against the criminal Saudi enemy, God willing. All the movements, attacks, and troop buildups of the Saudi enemy will not intimidate our beloved country, Yemen, the land of Islam and Arabism, nor will they weaken the resolve of our faithful, free, and mujahid people, the people of faith and wisdom. Rather, we will become even more determined to confront every aggression and every attack, for our people are on the side of truth, and our enemy is on the side of falsehood. Indeed, falsehood is ever bound to perish. We affirm that, by God's will and power, we will continue our operations deep inside Saudi Arabia, targeting its troop buildups and maintaining the equation of siege for siege until the aggression is halted and the blockade on our country is lifted. Dear Sir, God is sufficient for us, and He is the best of guardians, the best of masters, and the best of helpers. Long live Yemen, free, dignified, and independent! Victory to Yemen and to all the free people of the nation! Sana'a, 26 Rabi' al-Awwal 1448 AH,
corresponding to 8 September 2026 AD. Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces
Statement issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces In the name of God, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful God Almighty said: {{And whoever avenges himself after being wronged - those are not to be blamed.} God Almighty has spoken the truth For twelve years, our dear Yemeni people have been subjected to aggression and siege by the criminal Saudi enemy. During the past three days, the criminal Saudi enemy launched a brutal and unjust aggression against our people with 121 air raids launched from King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait and King Fahd Air Base in Taif, targeting the governorates of Ma’rib, Al-Bayda, Al-Hudaydah, Taiz and Al-Jawf, And committing major crimes, the latest being the Al-Jawf massacre, which claimed the lives of a large number of inmates at the central prison in Al-Hazm city, including women and children among the visitors, in an attempt to occupy our country and kill our people in a major and comprehensive escalation serving the American and Israeli enemy.
In response to this brutal aggression and to confront the comprehensive escalation with a comprehensive escalation,
the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a qualitative and extensive military operation, targeting Aramco facilities in Abha, Najran, the Economic City, Aramco Jizan, and Khamis Mushait Air Base with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. The strikes were precise and direct, thanks be to God, and caused significant damage to those facilities.
The Armed Forces hold the Saudi enemy responsible for the escalation. An attack on our country and our people will be met with a decisive response, and we will not hesitate to launch even stronger and wider strikes against the criminal Saudi enemy, God willing. All the movements, attacks, and troop buildups of the Saudi enemy will not intimidate our beloved country, Yemen, the land of Islam and Arabism, nor will they weaken the resolve of our faithful, free, and mujahid people, the people of faith and wisdom. Rather, we will become even more determined to confront every aggression and every attack, for our people are on the side of truth, and our enemy is on the side of falsehood. Indeed, falsehood is ever bound to perish. We affirm that, by God's will and power, we will continue our operations deep inside Saudi Arabia, targeting its troop buildups and maintaining the equation of siege for siege until the aggression is halted and the blockade on our beloved country is lifted. And God Sufficient for us is He, and He is the best Disposer of affairs; the best Master and the best Helper.
Long live Yemen, free, dignified, and independent!
Victory to Yemen and to all the free people of the nation!
Sana'a, 26 Rabi' al-Awwal 1448 AH
Corresponding to 8 September 2026 AD. Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces
For twelve years, our dear Yemeni people have been subjected to aggression and a blockade by the criminal Saudi enemy, and during the past three days, the criminal Saudi enemy launched a brutal and unjust aggression against our people with 121 airstrikes launched from King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait and King Fahd Air Base in Taif, targeting the governorates of Ma'rib, Al-Bayda, Al-Hudaydah, Taiz, and Al-Jawf, committing grave crimes, the latest of which is Al-Jawf massacre, which claimed the lives of a large number of inmates at the central prison in Al-Hazm, including women and children, in an attempt to occupy our country and kill our people in a major and comprehensive escalation serving the American and Israeli enemy. In response to this brutal aggression and to counter this comprehensive escalation with a comprehensive escalation, the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a qualitative and extensive military operation targeting Aramco facilities in Abha, Najran, the Economic City, and Jizan, as well as Khamis Mushait Air Base, with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones. The strikes were precise and direct, causing significant damage to these facilities, thanks be to Allah The Yemeni armed forces hold the Saudi enemy responsible for the escalation and every attack on our country and our people will be met with a decisive response, and we will not hesitate to launch even stronger and wider strikes against the criminal Saudi enemy, Allah's willing. All the actions, attacks, and troop buildups of the Saudi enemy will not intimidate our beloved country, Yemen, the land of Islam and Arabism, nor will they weaken the resolve of our faithful, free, and mujahid people—the people of faith and wisdom. Rather, we will become even more determined to confront every aggression and every attack, for our people are on the side of truth, and our enemy is on the side of falsehood. Indeed, falsehood is ever bound to perish. We affirm that, with Allah's help and strength, we will continue our operations deep inside Saudi, targeting its troop concentrations and implementing the a sieg for asiege equation until the aggression ceases and the blockade on our beloved country is lifted. Sana'a, Rabi' al-Awwal 26, 1448 AH
September 8, 2026 AD Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces
Where does the news lean?
12YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
“Yemen” refers to the territory within the internationally recognized borders of Yemen. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory, it will not qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen and credible reporting.
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