Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?No next Defence Secretary in 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Er, the Cabinet reshuffle is over for tonight… and we don’t have a Defence secretary or a Justice secretary. • • The King has been pleased to approve the following appointments: • • Stephen Kinnock MP as Secretary of State for Wales. • Sir Chris Bryant MP as Secretary of State for Northern Ireland. • Rt Hon Ellie Reeves KC MP as Attorney General. She will attend Cabinet. • Rt Hon Emma Reynolds MP as Chief Secretary to the Treasury. She will attend Cabinet. • Kanishka Narayan MP as Minister of State (Minister for Artificial Intelligence) jointly in the Cabinet Office and the Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport. He will attend Cabinet. • Hamish Falconer MP as Minister of State (Minister for Intergovernmental Relations and European Relations) jointly in the Cabinet Office and the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office. He will attend Cabinet. • Rt Hon Heidi Alexander MP will remain as Secretary of State for Transport. • • Rt Hon Douglas Alexander MP will remain as Secretary of State for Scotland. • • Rt Hon Sir Alan Campbell MP will remain as Lord President of the Council and Leader of the House of Commons. • • Rt Hon Baroness Smith of Basildon will remain as Lord Privy Seal and Leader of the House of Lords. • • Matthew Pennycook MP will remain as Minister of State in the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government. He will attend Cabinet. • • Rt Hon Hilary Benn MP, Rt Hon Lord Hermer KC and Rt Hon Jo Stevens MP have left the Government. • • Notes to editors • • A strengthened Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS) will bring together the current DCMS remit with responsibility for digital foundations, digital transformation, digital inclusion and skills, information resilience and online harms. • • There will be no further appointments this evening.
Where does the news lean?
1YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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