Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?Louise Haigh
ResolvedOutcome: No$3Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Louise Haigh's cabinet appointment
Louise Haigh has been appointed as First Secretary of State, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster and Minister for the Cabinet Office @cabinetofficeuk.
Live: Louise Haigh's Cabinet appointment confirmed
Louise Haigh has been appointed as First Secretary of State, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster and Minister for the Cabinet Office @cabinetofficeuk.
Louise Haigh to be appointed Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster AND first secretary of state. • • It's the right hand man/woman position previously held by figures like George Osborne, William Hague, and John Prescott. She will be the first woman to hold the role since her political hero Barbara Castle. • • She will run a beefed up Office of the Prime Minister/Cabinet Office for Andy Burnham.
Where does the news lean?
3YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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