Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?1
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$11Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
North Korea launched 12 cruise missiles from its newest destroyer, the Kang Gun, which was completed in late June.
YESReuters99%match39¢+156%
China’s Notification of Ballistic Missile Test on July 6 Came Only a Few Hours Before the Launch and Failed to Provide Sufficient Detail -State Department Official
North Korea test-fired 12 nuclear-capable long-range cruise missiles in succession from one of its new Choe Hyon-class destroyers—the first modern guided-missile destroyers in the North Korean navy.
Where does the news lean?
1YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
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