How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?11–13
Open$417Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO91¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
At least 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.2 or higher have been recorded in 2026, according to the USGS. The strongest was in the Philippines (7.8), followed by Indonesia (7.7). Colombia, Japan, Mexico, and Vanuatu also experienced earthquakes of magnitude 7 or higher. The most recent was in Ayacucho, Peru (7.2). #teleSUR #Earthquake #seismic #WeAreWithColombia
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
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