Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?2400
ResolvedOutcome: No$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
There have been more cases of measles this year than in all of last year. Health officials say more than 2,300 cases have been confirmed in 45 states so far in 2026.
US sees record-high measles cases in 35 years, with 2,295 cases, exceeding last year's total. 6% of patients require hospitalization, but no deaths have been reported.
Where does the news lean?
1YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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See all outcomes for Measles cases in U.S. by July 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.