Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

ResolvedOutcomes5as of

This hub tracks 5 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

2200100%
2300100%
2350100%

What moved the odds?

12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

2350alhadath91%match24¢-100%
"After 2,318 cases were recorded in 45 states," measles cases in America surpass last year's total and reach their highest level since 1991.
2350alarabiya91%match24¢-100%
"After 2,318 cases were recorded in 45 states," measles cases in America surpass last year's total and reach their highest level since 1991.
2400cbseveningnews97%match4¢-100%
There have been more cases of measles this year than in all of last year. Health officials say more than 2,300 cases have been confirmed in 45 states so far in 2026.
The number of measles cases in the United States has reached 2,318, a 35-year high.
2300dbws.io96%match100¢
US CDC records over 2,300 measles cases so far in 2026
2300abcnews.com94%match100¢
US measles cases hit 2,318 in 2026, surpassing last year's total, CDC data shows
2300News95%match99¢+1%
*US MEASLES CASES HIT 35-YEAR HIGH; 2026 TOTAL NOW 2,318
2350News95%match25¢-100%
*US MEASLES CASES HIT 35-YEAR HIGH; 2026 TOTAL NOW 2,318
2300sankei.com92%match11¢-100%
US sees record-high measles cases in 35 years, with 2,295 cases, exceeding last year's total. 6% of patients require hospitalization, but no deaths have been reported.
2350sankei.com93%match87¢-100%
US sees record-high measles cases in 35 years, with 2,295 cases, exceeding last year's total. 6% of patients require hospitalization, but no deaths have been reported.
2400sankei.com92%match98¢+2%
US sees record-high measles cases in 35 years, with 2,295 cases, exceeding last year's total. 6% of patients require hospitalization, but no deaths have been reported.
2350washingtonpost.com95%match14¢+614%
U.S. measles cases hit 35-year record with months left in 2026

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Related events