Peak US National Debt before 2027?$41 trillion
Open$675as of
Odds now
The market prices a 54% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES54¢
NO46¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US debt has reached $40 trillion, but what worried the markets most was that the last trillion was added in just five months. As bond yields rise, so do mortgage, auto, and corporate loan interest rates, while the government's interest bill increases. Do you think the US can contain its debt, or is $50 trillion just a matter of time? #Arabic_Business
As debt surpasses $40 trillion, the bill for Washington spending comes due
US debt surpasses $40 trillion! Krugman proposes a solution to improve government deficit: a progressive tax system.
USA: US national debt exceeds 40 trillion dollars for the first time
YESNews98%match46¢+17%
Trump’s economy was already exploding the national debt before his $1 billion-a-day war in Iran. Analysts warn about what comes next. • Where will you be in the third quarter of 2027?
Where does the news lean?
13YES0NO21neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
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