How many jobs added in July?<0

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$8KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESfoxbusiness92%match100¢
US economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July
YESchosun.com92%match100¢
U.S. July Employment Down 23,000... 100,000 Less Than Expected
YESbiz.chosun.com92%match100¢
U.S. July Employment Down 23,000... 100,000 Less Than Expected
YESargusmedia.com91%match100¢
US sheds 23,000 jobs in July, revisions lower
YESspa.gov.sa92%match100¢
Economy / The US economy sheds 23,000 jobs in July
YESsankei.com94%match100¢
US jobs fell by 23,000 in July, well below market expectations; unemployment rate improved to 4.1% from the previous month.
YESsemafor.com92%match100¢
US shed 23,000 jobs in July
YESalarabiya_bn93%match100¢
US employers unexpectedly cut jobs in July, despite the unemployment rate falling to 4.1%. Nonfarm payrolls declined by 23,000 jobs. Data for the previous two months were revised down by 103,000 jobs, suggesting the labor market was weaker than previously thought. The job losses were driven by declines in the government, leisure and hospitality, and retail sectors, despite the World Cup. Some economists attributed the 50,000 job losses in local government education to seasonal adjustment issues related to summer school closures. The labor force participation rate fell to 61.4%, its lowest level since the 1970s, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic. Among workers in the key 25-54 age group, participation rose slightly but remained at low levels. The annual increase in average hourly wages was 3.2%, the slowest pace in nearly five years. This suggests that wage growth is not keeping pace with inflation. The sharp slowdown in the labor market has led to higher stock prices, while bond yields have fallen due to speculation that the Federal Reserve will not have to raise interest rates anytime soon. #Arabic_Business
YESnews.ntv.co.jp96%match100¢
US July employment figures fall far short of market expectations; the number of employed people decreased by 23,000 from the previous month.
YESft.com96%match100¢
[UPDATE] US economy unexpectedly sheds 23,000 jobs in July (first reported at 2026-08-07T12:31:34Z)
YESfoxbusiness94%match100¢
The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost jobs in July as inflation and uncertainty surrounding the Iran war weighed on the outlook. • • Employers cut 23,000 jobs — a major miss from the 80,000 gain economists expected. Meanwhile, unemployment dipped to 4.1%. • • Previous months were also revised sharply lower, with May and June showing 103,000 fewer jobs than initially reported.
YESalarabiya_bn92%match100¢
The US economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, contrary to expectations. #AlArabiya_Business
YEScoindesk92%match100¢
MACRO: The U.S. economy loses 23,000 jobs in July, against expectations of an 80,000 gain, sending the probability of a September Fed rate hike from 55% to 46%.
YESafp.com92%match100¢
US unexpectedly loses 23,000 jobs in July
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp96%match100¢
US July employment report: Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000, significantly below market expectations.
YESnikkei92%match100¢
US employment in July fell by 23,000, contrary to market expectations; unemployment rate at 4.1%
YESmainichi.jp93%match100¢
US employment fell by 23,000 in July, significantly below market expectations.
YESnypost.com92%match100¢
US lost 23K jobs in July in disappointing report — though it could stall interest-rate hikes
YESnbcnews.com92%match100¢
Live: U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, a sudden reversal in what had been an otherwise solid labor market
YESFrench Media94%match100¢
BREAKING NEWS After an already disappointing June, the US job market contracted in July, losing 23,000 jobs while analysts had expected 80,000 new positions
YESaxios91%match100¢
U.S. economy surprisingly lost 23,000 jobs in July
YESnikkei.com92%match100¢
US employment in July fell by 23,000, contrary to market expectations; unemployment rate at 4.1%
YESbfmtv.com96%match100¢
After a disappointing June, the US job market contracted in July, losing 23,000 jobs while analysts had expected 80,000 new positions.
YESchosun.com92%match100¢
[Breaking] U.S. Employment Shock: 23,000 Jobs Lost in July… Will ‘September Rate Hike’ Be Halted?
YEStheguardian.com94%match100¢
Live: US employers lost 23,000 jobs in July amid ongoing job growth slump
YESmoney.udn.com96%match100¢
The US nonfarm payrolls report for July unexpectedly showed a monthly decrease of 23,000, and the combined downward revisions for May and June figures totaled 103,000.
YESalarabiya_bn94%match100¢
The US economy saw an unexpected drop in jobs during July, while the unemployment rate declined slightly, according to a report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. Seasonally adjusted nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 jobs in July, compared to a revised 20,000 in June. Forecasts had indicated an increase of 83,000 jobs in July. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while the labor force participation rate dropped to 61.4%, its lowest level in more than five years. #Arabic_Business
YEScbsnews.com92%match100¢
July jobs report reveals unexpected loss of 23,000 jobs
YESNBC Reporter95%match100¢
The U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July, a sign that the labor market had not stabilized after four months of positive growth. • • The unemployment rate ticked down only slightly to 4.1%.
YESBloomberg Reporter95%match100¢
BLS: "Both nonfarm payroll employment (-23,000) and the unemployment rate (4.1%) changed little in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment declined in local government education and retail trade. Employment continued to trend up in health care." •
YESaxios.com91%match100¢
U.S. economy surprisingly lost 23,000 jobs in July
YESnewsdig.tbs.co.jp95%match100¢
[Breaking News] US July employment statistics: -23,000 jobs, far below market expectations
YESBloomberg Reporter95%match100¢
BLS: "Both nonfarm payroll employment (-23,000) and the unemployment rate (4.1%) changed little in • July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment declined in local government • education and retail trade. Employment continued to trend up in health care." •
YESCNN Reporter97%match100¢
Breaking: US economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, according to new data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists had expected a 95,000-job gain.
YESWalter Bloomberg93%match100¢
JOBS SHOCK SHIFTS FED BETS • • The US unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, while unemployment fell to 4.1%. • • The weak report adds uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s September decision. • • Kalshi traders now price a 62% chance of no change, versus 34% for a 25bp hike. • • The Fed now faces a tougher balance between weaker jobs and persistent inflation. •
YESwublockchain97%match100¢
JUST IN: U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall by 23K, Unemployment Rate Drops to 4.1% • • U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, well below market expectations for an increase of 80,000. The previous reading was revised down from a gain of 57,000 to 20,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, below expectations of 4.2% and down from 4.2% previously.
YES47news.jp92%match100¢
★ US employment figures for July fell by 23,000
YESfoxnews92%match100¢
BREAKING: US economy unexpectedly loses 23,000 jobs in July, with unemployment rate falling on a further decline in labor force participation rate
YESNick Timiraos, WSJ96%match100¢
The economy lost 23,000 jobs, on net, in July, and revisions showed that employment gains were weaker than previously reported for the previous two months, which were revised down by 103,000.
YESWalter Bloomberg97%match100¢
US SHOCKS WITH 23,000 JOB LOSSES IN JULY • • The US economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, far below forecasts for an 83,000 gain. • • June’s increase was also revised down to just 20,000 jobs. • • Despite the weakness, unemployment unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%. • • The disappointing report raises fresh concerns about the labor market and could complicate the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions as policymakers balance weaker employment against persistent inflation.
YEStheguardian.com93%match100¢
Live: US economy lost 23,000 jobs in July
YESfoxbusiness.com92%match100¢
US economy unexpectedly shed jobs in July
YEScoindesk.com97%match100¢
The U.S. lost 23,000 jobs in July, far shy of forecasts for a gain of 80,000. • Prior to the report, markets were split on whether the Fed would hike rates at its next policy meeting in September.
YESReuters91%match100¢
Rpt-Top Alert-U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls -23,000 (Consensus +80,000) vs June +20,000 (Prev +57,000), May +63,000 (Prev +129,000)
YESstockmktnewz93%match100¢
The economy saw 23,000 jobs REMOVED in July Below expectations of +80K jobs added (NFP Non-farm Payrolls)
YESft.com93%match100¢
US economy undershoots forecasts to shed 23,000 jobs in July
YESWalter Bloomberg93%match100¢
*US JULY NONFARM PAYROLLS FALL 23K M/M; EST. +80K
YESdbnews93%match7¢+1329%
*US JULY NONFARM PAYROLLS FALL -23K M/M; EST. +80K
YESReuters92%match7¢+1329%
U.S. July Government Jobs -53,000
NOWalter Bloomberg97%match93¢-100%
JULY JOBS REPORT: ALL EYES ON FRIDAY • • The July Nonfarm Payrolls report is due Friday at 8:30 AM ET. • • Prediction Markets • • Kalshi: +72K • • Bank Forecasts • • Highest: Citigroup, Santander +115K • • Lowest: Deutsche Bank +65K • • Median: +80K • • WSJ Consensus • • Payrolls: +83K (vs. +57K prior) • • Unemployment: 4.2% • • Avg. Hourly Earnings: +0.3% M/M, +3.5% Y/Y •

Where does the news lean?

53YES2NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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