How many jobs added in July?100k – 150k
ResolvedOutcome: No$7Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US July employment figures fall far short of market expectations; the number of employed people decreased by 23,000 from the previous month.
US July employment report: Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000, significantly below market expectations.
After a disappointing June, the US job market contracted in July, losing 23,000 jobs while analysts had expected 80,000 new positions.
The US nonfarm payrolls report for July unexpectedly showed a monthly decrease of 23,000, and the combined downward revisions for May and June figures totaled 103,000.
The U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July, a sign that the labor market had not stabilized after four months of positive growth. • • The unemployment rate ticked down only slightly to 4.1%.
BLS: "Both nonfarm payroll employment (-23,000) and the unemployment rate (4.1%) changed little in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment declined in local government education and retail trade. Employment continued to trend up in health care." •
BLS: "Both nonfarm payroll employment (-23,000) and the unemployment rate (4.1%) changed little in • July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment declined in local government • education and retail trade. Employment continued to trend up in health care." •
Breaking: US economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, according to new data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists had expected a 95,000-job gain.
The economy lost 23,000 jobs, on net, in July, and revisions showed that employment gains were weaker than previously reported for the previous two months, which were revised down by 103,000.
US SHOCKS WITH 23,000 JOB LOSSES IN JULY • • The US economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, far below forecasts for an 83,000 gain. • • June’s increase was also revised down to just 20,000 jobs. • • Despite the weakness, unemployment unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%. • • The disappointing report raises fresh concerns about the labor market and could complicate the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions as policymakers balance weaker employment against persistent inflation.
The U.S. lost 23,000 jobs in July, far shy of forecasts for a gain of 80,000. • Prior to the report, markets were split on whether the Fed would hike rates at its next policy meeting in September.
Where does the news lean?
0YES13NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
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