Which companies will the US take a stake in?Anthropic

OpenVol$6KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES12¢
NO88¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOAl Jazeera English99%match91¢-3%
Trump orders federal agencies to stop using Anthropic as dispute escalates
NOReuters98%match91¢-3%
President Trump said he was directing every federal agency to immediately cease all use of Anthropic's technology, adding there would be a six-month phase out for agencies like the Defense Department who use the company's products
NOThe Spectator Index99%match91¢-3%
BREAKING: Trump orders Federal Government agencies immediately stop using Anthropic's technology
NOBNO News98%match91¢-3%
JUST IN: Trump orders federal government agencies to immediately cease use of Anthropic's technologies
YESFinancialJuice99%match9¢+33%
Pentagon's Michael on Anthropic: The US offered concessions
NOCGTN America98%match86¢+2%
ANTHROPIC: DEPARTMENT OF WAR THREATENED TO REMOVE US FROM THEIR SYSTEMS IF WE MAINTAIN SAFEGUARDS; ALSO THREATENED TO DESIGNATE US “SUPPLY CHAIN RISK"
YEStradfi news98%match9¢+33%
*PENTAGON ASKED DEFENSE FIRMS BOEING AND LOCKHEED TO ASSESS ANTHROPIC RELIANCE $BA $LMT
NOBloomberg98%match86¢+2%
The Pentagon is close to cutting ties with Anthropic and may label the AI company a supply chain risk after becoming frustrated with restrictions on how it can use the technology, Axios reported
NOAxios98%match82¢+7%
Exclusive: Pentagon warns Anthropic will "pay a price" as feud escalates
NOzerohedge98%match85¢+4%
This information would have been very useful to investors who put in money at a 380BN valuation just 3 days ago. [Quoting @DavidLawler10] > NEW with @m_ccuri: The Pentagon is threatening to cut ties with Anthropic because the company insists on restricting the military’s use of Claude to surveil Americans or develop fully autonomous weapons. Full story:
NOJennifer Griffin98%match65¢+35%
NEW with @m_ccuri: The Pentagon is threatening to cut ties with Anthropic because the company insists on restricting the military’s use of Claude to surveil Americans or develop fully autonomous weapons. Full story:
NOAxios98%match66¢+33%
NEW with @m_ccuri: The Pentagon is threatening to cut ties with Anthropic because the company insists on restricting the military’s use of Claude to surveil Americans or develop fully autonomous weapons. Full story:
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match66¢+33%
PENTAGON MAY CUT TIES WITH ANTHROPIC OVER AI RESTRICTIONS The United States Department of Defense is considering ending its partnership with Anthropic PBC after the company declined to relax certain restrictions on how the Pentagon uses its artificial intelligence tools,…

Where does the news lean?

2YES11NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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