When will the US confirm that aliens exist?September 30
ResolvedOutcome: No$7.2Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Obama: "One of the things you learn as president is government is terrible at keeping secrets. This idea of conspiracy theories -- if there were aliens or spaceships under the control of the US government that we knew about, seen, photographed, I promise you some guy guarding the installation would have taken a selfie with one of the aliens."
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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