UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Open$211Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Russia and China foiled a resolution in the Security Council to discuss the Iranian nuclear issue
Live: UN Security Council members condemn Iran at emergency session
The latest discussions suggest he is looking for ways to break the deadlock with Tehran and hasn’t yet ruled out a return to fighting. Resuming the conflict, some officials acknowledge, would be a tacit admission that the much-touted Iran deal failed.
Where does the news lean?
3YES3NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.