SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13Successful splash down?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$64Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The US Starship completed its 13th test flight, and the spacecraft splashed down in the Indian Ocean.
The Starship mega-rocket successfully completes its test, the first since SpaceX's IPO
SpaceX successfully completed the 13th test launch of its Starship spacecraft, which is being developed for future exploration of the Moon and Mars. During the hour-long flight, Starship made a partial orbit around the Earth, launched 20 Starlink satellites into orbit, and then made a soft splashdown on thrusters in the Indian Ocean northwest of Australia, where it remained afloat. The first stage, the Super Heavy launch vehicle, separated and splashed down in the Gulf of Mexico seven minutes after launch. SpaceX CEO Elon Musk expects to receive certification for manned Starship missions by the end of this year. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
YESNews96%match99¢+1%
URGENT: Starship splashes down in the Indian Ocean during its 13th test - broadcast
YESReuters97%match100¢
SpaceX’s Starship Splashes Down in Indian Ocean, Capping 13th Test Flight
Splashdown confirmed! Congratulations to the entire SpaceX team on the 13th flight test of Starship!
SpaceX Starship Aces Test 13. How That Will Help the Stock. -- Barrons.com
SpaceX’s Starship Flight 13 launch attempt fizzled out.
Where does the news lean?
8YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Related markets
See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.