SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13July 16

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$57KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOFrench Media91%match100¢
"Two engines will be removed and replaced": SpaceX abruptly cancels the 13th test flight of its recently modified Starship mega-rocket (and continues to plummet on the stock market)
NObfmtv.com91%match100¢
"Two engines will be removed and replaced": SpaceX abruptly cancels the 13th test flight of its recently modified Starship mega-rocket (and continues to plummet on the stock market)
NOalhadath92%match100¢
Footage shows SpaceX's Starship launch being aborted seconds before liftoff in Texas during its 13th test flight.
NOalarabiya92%match100¢
Footage shows SpaceX's Starship launch being aborted seconds before liftoff in Texas during its 13th test flight.
NOtheverge.com93%match100¢
SpaceX’s Starship Flight 13 launch attempt fizzled out.
NONews95%match100¢
URGENT: SpaceX cancels 13th Starship test launch - broadcast
NOdbws.io95%match100¢
SpaceX Starship rocket aborts before liftoff in 13th flight test attempt
NOReuters93%match99¢+1%
SpaceX Starship Aborts Moments Before Liftoff in Attempt at 13th Test Flight From Texas
YESspacex93%match78¢-100%
On track for Starship’s 13th flight test later today – the 90-minute launch window opens at 5:45 p.m. CT. Live coverage starts ~30 minutes before launch
YESYahoo Finance Reporter97%match72¢-100%
JP Morgan on 13th Starship test flight later today: • • "There will be plenty to analyze from Flight 13, but over time, we expect both progress and setbacks as SpaceX moves toward its goal of launching Starship dozens of times next year, followed by hundreds of times in 2028, and then thousands beyond. In our initiation last week, we highlighted two categories of challenges for SpaceX to tackle on Starship: one dealing with the rocket’s technical performance and another with scaling the production system (rockets, engines, fuel, launch pads) and regulatory approvals. This flight will tell us a bit more about the former, and an ongoing focus will be the cost and time associated with refurbishing the second stage, given the stress of re-entry. As a result, we will seek information about the performance of the upper stage thermal protection system (TPS). Later this year, SpaceX expects to catch an upper stage in the Mechazilla “chopsticks” at Starbase. This would be impressive, but regarding the Starship business case, we are a bit more focused on how quickly that same second stage will refly. Reliability of the V3 Raptor engine is another focus for Flight 13 after performance shortfalls on Flight 12. For other upcoming milestones, SpaceX indicated in June that it intends to refuel a Starship in space this year."

Where does the news lean?

2YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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