Senate passes Clarity ActOctober 9

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$7KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOcoindesk.com93%match99¢+1%
The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking. • Crypto M&A has hit record levels, but the Clarity Act’s Senate setback leaves dealmakers weighing how much regulatory uncertainty still matters.
NOcoindesk92%match99¢+1%
They should've just put the CLARITY Act on the Senate floor and worked it out — before the political cycle overwhelmed this." Former Chairman @PatrickMcHenry joins @RebeccaRettig1 and @renato_mariotti on @CoinDesk's Policy Protocol — on CLARITY's lame-duck shot, AI trading liability, and prediction markets. • • Chapters/Timecodes: • 00:00 Welcome to The Policy Protocol • 01:56 UK's FCA Opens Crypto Authorizations • 03:08 SEC's Crypto FAQ and the Buyback Rewrite • 05:11 Robinhood's AI Agents and the Accountability Question • 08:08 Chairman Patrick McHenry Joins the Show • 08:47 Why CLARITY Stalled in the Senate • 09:35 Can the Lame Duck Save Market Structure? • 10:45 Narrow Crypto Bills vs. the Whole Enchilada • 12:47 When an AI Agent Trades, Who's Liable? • 14:27 Custody Rules and a Forward-Leaning SEC • 15:26 Prediction Markets: Investing or Gambling? • 16:26 CFTC Authority and the Supreme Court Fight • 19:34 The Legacy of Commissioner Hester Peirce
NOibtimes.com92%match98¢+2%
IBTIMES: The CLARITY Act Stalled In The Senate. Now US Regulators Are Moving Ahead On Crypto Rules Without Congress
NOsedaily.com91%match98¢+2%
Clarity Act Blocked, But… U.S. Cryptocurrency Institutionalization Is ‘Ongoing’ [Do Yeri’s Digital Asset Note]
NOmk.co.kr95%match96¢+4%
US Senate Rejects Clarity Act… Where Will Cryptocurrency Regulation Go? [MBlock Letter]
NOforbes.com92%match97¢+3%
After Clarity Act Stalls, SEC And CFTC Take On Bigger Role. • The crypto industry is looking to the SEC and CFTC as regulators continue rulemaking under their existing authority.

Where does the news lean?

0YES18NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). The following would not qualify: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules; - The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); - The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.

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