Senate passes Clarity ActOctober 2
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
IBTIMES: The CLARITY Act Stalled In The Senate. Now US Regulators Are Moving Ahead On Crypto Rules Without Congress
U.S. regulators rush to write crypto rulebook after Clarity Act stalls in Senate
U.S. regulators rush to write crypto rulebook after Clarity Act stalls in Senate
This Week in Crypto (September 14–21): The CLARITY Act Dies 49–50, the Fed Hikes for the First Time Since 2023, and the Agencies Go Around Congress Two Days Later. • The biggest item this week in crypto is a bill that didn't pass. The CLARITY Act failed a Senate procedural vote 49–50 on September 15, over ethics language about politicians' token holdings rather than anything in the market-structure text. The Fed then hiked for the first time since 2023, traders lost $571 million in longs, and by September 17 the SEC and CFTC were writing the rules Congress declined to pass. Here's the week, story by story. The week at a glance Story Date The number t
Clarity Act Blocked, But… U.S. Cryptocurrency Institutionalization Is ‘Ongoing’ [Do Yeri’s Digital Asset Note]
The CLARITY Act Failed In The Senate. But Coinbase CEO Armstrong Says Crypto Has Another Path Forward.. • Armstrong said the bill's passage would also have brought greater competition from Wall Street.
CFTC Submits Crypto Market Rule Proposal for White House Review as CLARITY Act Stalls • • A regulatory filing on the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) website indicates that the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) submitted a proposal to regulate cryptocurrency trading and markets on September 17. The submission follows the Senate’s failure to advance the CLARITY Act, which would have granted the CFTC primary authority over digital asset markets. The proposal is under review and has not been finalized.
The CLARITY Act: “Firms still do not have a clear answer on how some digital asset products will be classified or which rules apply”. • CI has received dozens of comments about the US Senate’s failure to advance the CLARITY Act. The legislation would have protected consumers while enabling innovation with defined regulatory oversight. This common-sense approach was crushed by midterm politics and the Democratic Party’s refusal to give Republicans... Read More
US Senate Rejects Clarity Act… Where Will Cryptocurrency Regulation Go? [MBlock Letter]
After Clarity Act Stalls, SEC And CFTC Take On Bigger Role. • The crypto industry is looking to the SEC and CFTC as regulators continue rulemaking under their existing authority.
Where does the news lean?
0YES18NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is passed by the United States Senate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
"Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following:
1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins);
2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets;
3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21).
The following would not qualify:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;
- Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;
- Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);
- Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;
- Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;
- Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules;
- The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);
- The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific);
Qualifying legislation must be passed by the United States Senate. Passage by the United States House of Representatives or subsequent signature by the United States President are not relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States Senate and a consensus of credible reporting.
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