UK election calledJune 30, 2027
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES26¢
NO75¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
BREAKING: Andy Burnham has pledged that he will not call a general election until one is due in 2029 • • He is moving to kill speculation about an early election (Bloomberg reported last Saturday that people close to Burnham had decided against it) • • Burnham says re 2029: “that’s when the next election will be” • • He categorically rules out an early election, including in May 2027 • • Asked about May 2027: “Absolutely not” • • PM: “No election any time soon” • • “All of this speculation on an early election, I can knock that dead,” he says, in a series of regional interviews with the BBC and ITV this afternoon
Breaking: Andy Burnham has said he can “knock dead” speculation he will call an early general election because holding a poll earlier than 2029 would be “self-serving politics”. • • The prime minister ruled out bringing the next election forward amid reports that some of his most senior advisers had been keen on the idea. • • Asked by ITV Calendar if the next election would be in 2029, he said: “Yes, that’s when the next election will be. • • “All of this speculation on an early election, I can knock that dead.”
BREAKING: Andy Burnham has pledged that he will not call a general election until one is due in 2029 • • He is moving to kill speculation about an early election (Bloomberg reported last Saturday that people close to Burnham had decided against it) • • Burnham says re 2029: “that’s when the next election will be” • • He categorically rules out an early election, including in May 2027 • • Asked about May 2027: “Absolutely not” • • PM: “No election any time soon” • • “All of this speculation on an early election, I can knock that dead,” he says, in a series of regional interviews with the BBC and ITV this afternoon
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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