UK election calledDecember 31, 2026
Open$38Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Breaking: Andy Burnham has said he can “knock dead” speculation he will call an early general election because holding a poll earlier than 2029 would be “self-serving politics”. • • The prime minister ruled out bringing the next election forward amid reports that some of his most senior advisers had been keen on the idea. • • Asked by ITV Calendar if the next election would be in 2029, he said: “Yes, that’s when the next election will be. • • “All of this speculation on an early election, I can knock that dead.”
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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