Next Claude Opus releasedSeptember 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$120Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Anthropic’s New Claude Opus 5.5 Matches Fable at 60% the Price
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
ANTHROPIC INTRODUCES CLAUDE OPUS 5.5, THE FIRST MODEL IN ITS CLAUDE 5.5 FAMILY • • The company says it performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Anthropic owned Claude just posted this: • • “Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.”
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Anthropic unveils Claude Opus 5.5
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Next Claude Opus released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.