Next Claude Opus released
Resolved10as of
This hub tracks 10 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
October 31100%
December 31100%
September 30100%
September 27100%
September 24100%
September 22100%
September 23100%
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Anthropic’s New Claude Opus 5.5 Matches Fable at 60% the Price
Anthropic’s New Claude Opus 5.5 Matches Fable at 60% the Price
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
ANTHROPIC INTRODUCES CLAUDE OPUS 5.5, THE FIRST MODEL IN ITS CLAUDE 5.5 FAMILY • • The company says it performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
ANTHROPIC INTRODUCES CLAUDE OPUS 5.5, THE FIRST MODEL IN ITS CLAUDE 5.5 FAMILY • • The company says it performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
ANTHROPIC INTRODUCES CLAUDE OPUS 5.5, THE FIRST MODEL IN ITS CLAUDE 5.5 FAMILY • • The company says it performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Anthropic owned Claude just posted this: • • “Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.”
Anthropic owned Claude just posted this: • • “Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.”
Anthropic owned Claude just posted this: • • “Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.”
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, the first model in our new Claude 5.5 family. • • It performs at the level of Claude Fable 5.1 for most tasks, and costs 40% less to run than Opus 5.
Anthropic unveils Claude Opus 5.5
Anthropic unveils Claude Opus 5.5
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.