Houthis successfully target shippingAugust 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$81Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Yemen's Houthis said they had targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea with missiles and drones for what they called "violating the naval blockade," forcing 10 other ships to change course. The British Maritime Operations Center also reported an attack on an oil tanker near the Saudi coastal city of Al-Shaqeeq. The Houthis named the targeted tankers as "Anslia" and "Laila," but there was no independent information about the damage, the condition of the crew, or a possible oil spill. Yahya Saree, a Houthi military spokesman, described the attacks as part of enforcing the Saudi naval blockade and threatened that counterattacks would continue if Riyadh's military operations escalated. Saudi Arabia also announced that it would use legal measures permitted under international law to protect its ships. The attacks come amid rising tensions between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia, and coincide with the war between the United States and the Islamic Republic, raising concerns about disruptions to shipping and energy transport in the Red Sea. Read the full text here
Statement from the Yemeni Armed Forces regarding the targeting of two Saudi oil tankers that violated the embargo in the Red Sea, resulting in a large fire on board and forcing 10 other vessels to retreat - July 22, 2026
Where does the news lean?
9YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
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