Federal Gas Tax SuspendedNovember 2
Open$11Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO86¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Yet... Trump and Congressional talk about a temporary "gas tax holiday" imploded
Where does the news lean?
2YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Federal Gas Tax Suspended — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.