Federal Gas Tax SuspendedJune 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$22KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOpunchbowlnews99%match80¢+25%
VAULT: Rep. Richie Neal said Wednesday that he doesn’t expect the push for a suspension of the gas tax to go far. President Donald Trump endorsed the idea this week, leading House GOP leaders to consider a floor vote. • • @ccleffert has more: •
NOPolitico Reporter99%match75¢+33%
NEW — Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R-NY) is planning to unveil a gas tax holiday bill as Republicans are divided over President Trump’s push • • Bill would provide 90 day suspension, and give the president discretion for up to an additional 125 days as Rs scramble to address high gas prices
NOPolitico Reporter99%match75¢+33%
Aguilar says tbd on whether Dems will ever see a gas tax bill but cites problems with depleting the Highway Trust Fund if a holiday is implemented
NOopenoutcrier99%match76¢+32%
Gas tax holiday as Trump promises? Not so fast, trucking, construction industries say - CNBC • •
NOcnbc.com99%match79¢+27%
Gas tax holiday as Trump promises? Not so fast, trucking, construction industries say
NOms.now99%match76¢+32%
Trump’s gas tax holiday has some Democratic allies — and plenty of GOP skepticism

Where does the news lean?

0YES6NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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