Pennsylvania Governor Election WinnerJosh Shapiro (D)

OpenVol$9KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 97% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES97¢
NO3¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESCBS Reporter92%match97¢
Former President Barack Obama is throwing his support behind Pennsylvania Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro's reelection campaign, releasing a video endorsement Friday as the former president steps up his involvement in key Senate and gubernatorial races in the final stretch before the midterm elections. • "Pennsylvania, Governor Shapiro has your back — and in this election, I'm asking you to have his," Obama says in the video, first on @CBSNews
YEScbsnews.com94%match97¢
Obama throws support behind Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's reelection bid

Where does the news lean?

2YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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